Five things we learned from watching the Premier League this weekend

Arsenal will struggle to make the top four, Chelsea’s future looks adventurous and Spurs are a well-greased machine

A top-four finish is beginning to look beyond Arsenal

Arsenal’s season is not yet in crisis – they remain in four competitions, the club’s finances are still sound, their form is shambolic rather than irredeemable – but already there is an ominous waning, a sense that their fate may no longer be in their own hands. With the Manchester clubs and Chelsea arguably forming a breakaway, Arsenal currently look less well-equipped for the pursuit of Champions League football than both Spurs (more of which later) and Liverpool.

In many ways the performance at Blackburn was vintage Arsenal: neat interplay between midfield and attack; a gorgeous goal carved out for their Spanish creator; chances bought and sold; some calamitous defending typified by set-piece diffidence and an offside trap to make Tony Adams weep into his plov; a couple of blooper reel own-goals. Arsène Wenger could lament Yakubu’s offside strike and a possible penalty that his side were not awarded. Plus ça change, etc and so on.

It is also true that since the Invincibles were vanquished, Arsenal fans have become used to seeing their side hamstrung by early season incompetence. They took one point from their first three games in 2006-07 (before winning at Old Trafford); were beaten at home by newly promoted Hull in 2008-09; suffered similar embarrassment at the hands of West Brom last season. But this start has been far worse, a 1-0 win over Swansea offering the most meagre encouragement.

Like a photocopy of a photocopy, or a straight-to-DVD sequel, the product is fuzzily familiar, recognisable yet diminished. Once again it appears Arsenal are out of the running whilst barely out of the traps – only this time not just for the title, but possibly the top four as well.

Kean deserves the chance to change his luck

Perhaps Venky’s can bring some of their expertise to bear at Ewood Park after all. Because unfortunately, Steve Kean often sounds like a man who has counted his chickens before they’ve hatched. As Richard Jolly’s match report put it after Blackburn lost their third match in a row against Everton last month:

“I look at the stats from a half-full point of view,” [Kean] said, citing 21 attempts at the Everton goal and, improbably, 60 penalty‑box entries … before reluctantly accepting that not since 1951 had Rovers begun so badly. “If it’s our worst start in 60 years then stats don’t lie,” Kean said. “But when you’re dominating games and missing penalties, I don’t know if we could have done any more.” The facetious response would have involved the word “score”.

As any fule kno, shots on goal are not the same as goals themselves but Kean experienced fortune’s flipside against Arsenal, his side netting four times despite barely mustering the same number of attempts on target. Rovers will not play a side with Arsenal’s back flaw every week but after a committed display, featuring typically dogged defence as well as neat performances from the likes of Rubén Rochina, Junior Hoilett and the substitute Martin Olsson, Blackburn have reasons to look up (and no longer just because everyone else is above them).

Not even a supporters’ protest before the match could spoil Kean’s day, though he was probably overstating things to claim that if 1% of the fanbase were calling for his head, the other 99% are right behind him. Doubts remain but the manager deserves the backing of his owners a while longer; and if Kean’s eggs won’t hatch themselves, at least with Yakubu Ayegbeni up front, they’re more likely to be poached – which is probably just as good.

Villas-Boas is stamping his mark on Chelsea

It was Gary Neville, in the Sky studio, who called it before the game, commending André Villas-Boas for his attacking team selection and suggesting that Chelsea had come to Old Trafford to “have a go”. That, as it turned out, was an understatement, as Manchester United were forced back repeatedly by Chelsea’s adventure. Still, if you come at the champions, you’d better not miss – and, notably with the chances squandered by Ramires and Fernando Torres, that’s exactly what Chelsea did.

For 80-odd minutes, Torres gave his own personal demons a chasing, until an open goal proved that his recovery is not quite complete. However, there was enough in his movement, and the way he combined with Juan Mata and Daniel Sturridge in a mobile front three, to confirm that this is the way forward for Chelsea. Raul Meireles’s composed passing was also a feature and with Villas-Boas withdrawing Frank Lampard at half-time, the manager seemed tacitly to concede Torres’s point that Chelsea have tended to play too slowly when in possession.

Villas-Boas’s approach to perhaps the most scrutinised game of his short managerial career suggests that, at the very least, he is prepared to accept the twin demands of the club’s owner, Roman Abramovich: that Chelsea must win and do so with style. Perhaps unsurprisingly for such a dapper man, he has made a statement on the latter point. If his side continue to perform as they did on Sunday, the former will surely take care of itself.

Rested Spurs prove that Harry knows

Harry Redknapp must be purring like the proverbial cat who got the cream after his decision to excuse so many of his regular first-team squad from the trip to Greece on Thursday night was thoroughly vindicated by their sparkling and energetic performance against Liverpool.

The pace and vigour with which they began the game put the visitors on the back foot from the start and it did not take long for their principal attacking strategy to emerge.

Liverpool, without a recognised fit right-back, made do with Martin Skrtel stationed out of position and he struggled from the start to cope with passes threaded or chipped behind him for Gareth Bale to run on to. Neither Stewart Downing, nor Jordan Henderson, gave him adequate protection. Neither are orthodox right-sided midfielders and it told in their defensive work. They stood too far infield and too high up the pitch, allowing Benoît Assou-Ekotto, Luka Modric and Scott Parker to invite Bale to stretch his legs on numerous occasions. Dirk Kuyt, so diligent in his defensive duties, was omitted from the position in which he excelled under Rafael Benítez, robbing Skrtel of a shield.

The movement of Jermain Defoe and Emmanuel Adebayor, occupying the centre-backs with smart convex runs to entice them out of position, meant that Jamie Carragher had his hands too full to help out Skrtel.

Tottenham began brightly, pressed like demons in midfield and were tactically superior even before the red cards that eventually reduced Liverpool to nine men. It’s early days for Spurs but Parker and Adebayor look tougher and savvier than the players they were bought to replace, while Modric and Bale hit the heights of last season’s form and caused havoc for an oddly static and slack Liverpool. If they carry on like this, they will earn Thursdays off for the rest of the season.

The promoted clubs are up and running

Not since 10 February 2007, when Reading, Sheffield United and Watford were victorious, had the three clubs newly promoted to the Premier League all won on the same day. That marker was quietly replaced on Saturday, as QPR, Swansea and, to a lesser extent, Norwich, completed impressive victories against more established opponents. For the latter two teams, three points were claimed for the first time this season. Swansea, after 374 barren minutes of Premier League football, scored their first goals.

All of which will mean nothing come May if they can’t avoid the Championship’s tractor beam. The last time all three promoted teams stayed up was in 2001-02, while none of this season’s newcomers look like bouncing as high as, say, Blackpool did last year (only to then plummet like Icarus). But the signs are there that all three have got the stomach for a fight and, when it comes to defying the bookies, that’s a pretty good place to start.

ArsenalAndré Villas-BoasChelseaTottenham HotspurPremier League 2011-12Steve KeanBlackburn RoversAlan GardnerRob Bagchiguardian.co.uk

From Chelsea to Milan to Madrid, José Mourinho’s craving for power | Paul Hayward

The charismatic Portugese manager is an inspiration and enjoys adoration – but that is still not enough for him

The consensus on José Mourinho’s rise from translator to transmogrifier is that he craves the one thing he can’t have: autonomy, supreme power, in direct opposition to Roman Abramovich, the Moratti clan of Milan or Real Madrid’s grandees. Casting himself as the little man fighting inscrutable wealth, he makes a fine job of portraying each career move as a dash for freedom.

But just suppose he provoked some of the confrontations that pepper his time in football management. Let’s imagine that standing up to an owner or a president is all part of a strategy to preserve his aura and keep his life in motion. The hard part is knowing how much this brilliant touchline general acts out of an urge to preserve his independence and to what degree he is just a clever sod who is always on the make.

Most of us would applaud any coach who outruns the fire of boardroom cruelty. Mourinho is employed by a club who sacked Fabio Capello for winning La Liga with low scores for artistic merit, and Vicente del Bosque 12 months after he had won the Champions League. So when the Real directors started leaning on Mourinho to pick certain players and resisted his transfer demands the political opportunity worked both ways. Real could look beyond him, to their next victim, and Mourinho could lay the ground for a return to the Premier League.

Students of extraordinary coincidence will have noted that he swept into London to say “my next job will be in England” a few days after Roberto Mancini’s Manchester City were knocked out of the Europa League and then lost 2-0 at Chelsea. A few days, also, after Ron Gourlay, the Chelsea chief executive, had said Carlo Ancelotti’s position would be reviewed in May.

Few expect Ancelotti still to be talking about good and bad “moments” at Stamford Bridge next term. And the way Mancini is going, only the FA Cup and a safely-won Champions League place would give him hope of persuading City’s owners that he is the right man for the transformation. Nobody mentions that Mourinho ostracised Mario Balotelli at Internazionale, while Mancini may have gambled his career in England away on a player whose volatility is exceeded only by his confusion when asked to put on a bib.

“I miss England and my next job will be in England,” Mourinho declares. “There is unfinished business. And I think England wants me back, no?” It would be stretching it to say there are vigils in Trafalgar Square demanding the safe return of the scourge of the Reading ambulance service, but the point can be conceded. England certainly wants more of his charisma, the adoration he inspires in players, the newspapers he sells.

There is a name missing here; Manchester United. Mourinho and Sir Alex Ferguson talk often, as friends, as allies, but the younger man (who must envy Ferguson’s power base) will not come away from their chats thinking United will advertise for a new leader any time soon. The retirement-phobic Ferguson is re-energised by the knowledge that United are holding off the pack in the middle of a rebuilding phase. Imagine how good his team will be, he reasons, when reinforcements are bought and the youngsters mature.

After one of their telephone conversations, Ferguson said: “The Real Madrid job is the hardest challenge in José’s career. I’ve spoken to José a couple of times and he’s not managing a normal football club. Sometimes he’s managing a circus, sometimes a fantastic outfit in terms of the quality of the football they can produce and the kind of players they always want. But it’s a very difficult club to manage.”

Even harder is shooting Barcelona off their perch. In all Mourinho’s calculations there must be the fear of failing for the first time. Not in absolute terms, but relative to the majesty on show in Catalonia. He brought Chelsea their first league title for 50 years, answered the yearning at Inter for another European Cup, then moved on from “the home of tactics”, as he calls Italy, knowing the Serie A-Coppa Italia-Champions League treble could not be improved upon, or probably even repeated.

In red Manchester, the best he could hope for is an Old Trafford starting date of June 2012 – but even that looks unlikely. The grandeur of that statement – “my next job will be in England”, as if the decision is all his – obliges him either to seek a reconciliation with Abramovich or wait for Mancini to fall. Naturally, he would never do anything so vulgar as apply for a job already occupied by a colleague.

“In football there are a few victories here [in England] I would like to repeat,” he says. “I will talk to my agent and get a project for my career.” Elsewhere in these interviews he talked of Real Madrid almost in the past tense. From the time Bobby Robson asked him to learn Catalan so he could eavesdrop on the Barcelona directors, Mourinho has been a student of power. It’s his obsession to know more than the professors.

José MourinhoReal MadridEuropean footballManchester CityChelseaManchester UnitedPaul Haywardguardian.co.uk

Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 Chelsea | Premier League match report

Carlo Ancelotti claimed he was “lucky” to still be in a job before this game but good fortune only lasts so long. The Chelsea manager will do well to hold on to his position after his side suffered a humiliating defeat that exposed the brittle confidence within their ranks and the alarming depths to which the champions have fallen. Nine points behind Manchester United having played a game more, their title challenge looks to be over.

Ancelotti had stated beforehand that Chelsea “will win” but there was no sign of that belief in his players on a sobering night for the visitors. The Italian had barely had time to get acquainted with the touchline area where he spent most of the evening looking a lonely and dejected figure when José Bosingwa put through his own net. Chelsea had 85 minutes to turn the game around but there was to be no reprieve for Ancelotti or his beleaguered players.

They have now won one out of nine in the league and collected 10 points from their last 11 games, a run of form that would normally be associated with a club